Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.046443 0.050548 0.054710 0.059236 0.064014 0.068901 0.074269
2024-10-06 0.040625 0.046743 0.053173 0.060406 0.068289 0.076594 0.085978
2024-10-13 0.035965 0.043543 0.051770 0.061303 0.071978 0.083505 0.096829
2024-10-20 0.031203 0.039698 0.049214 0.060546 0.073557 0.087915 0.104845
2024-10-27 0.028252 0.037583 0.048329 0.061434 0.076798 0.094065 0.114758
2024-11-03 0.025067 0.034874 0.046484 0.060972 0.078299 0.098105 0.122198
2024-11-10 0.022735 0.032978 0.045412 0.061252 0.080534 0.102901 0.130458
2024-11-17 0.020988 0.031646 0.044886 0.062072 0.083318 0.108283 0.139382
2024-11-24 0.020437 0.031786 0.046146 0.065056 0.088715 0.116788 0.152050
2024-12-01 0.017878 0.029068 0.043597 0.063119 0.087948 0.117799 0.155716
2024-12-08 0.016148 0.027336 0.042205 0.062540 0.088774 0.120673 0.161575
2024-12-15 0.014689 0.025868 0.041063 0.062197 0.089825 0.123774 0.167682
2024-12-22 0.014195 0.025785 0.041816 0.064401 0.094224 0.131159 0.179237
2024-12-29 0.013370 0.025156 0.041779 0.065533 0.097246 0.136857 0.188777
2025-01-05 0.012536 0.024449 0.041586 0.066424 0.099943 0.142159 0.197867
2025-01-12 0.011258 0.022952 0.040187 0.065594 0.100324 0.144494 0.203239
2025-01-19 0.010592 0.022375 0.040075 0.066514 0.103014 0.149781 0.212349
2025-01-26 0.009601 0.021186 0.038994 0.066018 0.103759 0.152539 0.218251
2025-02-02 0.008898 0.020419 0.038495 0.066309 0.105546 0.156637 0.225867
2025-02-09 0.008390 0.019947 0.038413 0.067172 0.108097 0.161729 0.234769
2025-02-16 0.008446 0.020475 0.039888 0.070320 0.113829 0.171045 0.249173
2025-02-23 0.007350 0.018826 0.037873 0.068276 0.112303 0.170743 0.251122
2025-03-02 0.006648 0.017843 0.036860 0.067664 0.112738 0.173014 0.256396